基于余震序列的地震烈度快速评估方法研究——以青海门源6.9级地震为例
作者:
作者单位:

1.中国地震局兰州地震研究所,甘肃 兰州 730000;2.东京大学地震研究所,日本 东京 163-8001

作者简介:

赵怀群(1998-),男,硕士研究生,主要从事GIS技术应用研究。E-mail:Zhaohuaiqun@yeah.net。

通讯作者:

陈文凯(1983-),男,正高级工程师,主要从事GIS、遥感技术应用研究。E-mail:cwk2000@yeah.net。

基金项目:

中国地震局地震预测研究所基本科研业务专项(2020IESLZ05);“十三五”国家重点研发计划项目(2017YFB0504104)


A rapid evaluation method of earthquake intensity based on the aftershock sequence: a case study of Menyuan M6.9 earthquake in Qinghai Province
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Lanzhou Institute of Seismology, CEA, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, China;2.Seismological Research Institute Inc., Tokyo 163-8001, Japan

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    摘要:

    地震烈度快速评估产品是破坏性地震发生后应急工作“黑箱期”内研判灾情的重要依据。文章基于青海门源6.9级地震震后2 h内的余震序列,采用最短断层距地震动衰减模型快速评估地震烈度。研究结果显示:利用震后30分钟内的余震序列得到的烈度分布可以初步判定重灾区及灾区范围,但灾区范围略小于实际调查结果;利用1.5 h内的余震序列得到的烈度分布与现场调查结果比较吻合,2 h内余震序列计算结果未发生明显改变。利用精定位的余震序列得到的地震烈度比常规余震序列得到的结果更精确,但需要选择合适的精定位方法。在此次地震中,使用余震序列评估的烈度范围表现出烈度越大准确度越高的特点,使用该结果确定的重灾区范围是比较准确的。该方法丰富了现有的烈度快速评估体系,但还需深入研究其适用范围和条件。

    Abstract:

    The rapid assessment product of earthquake intensity is an important basis for judging the disaster situation during the " black box period" of emergency response after a destructive earthquake. Based on the aftershock sequence within 2 h after the M6.9 earthquake in Menyuan, Qinghai Province, we used a ground motion attenuation model with the shortest fault distance to rapidly evaluate the earthquake intensity in this paper. The results showed that the intensity distribution obtained by using the aftershock sequence within 30 minutes after the M6.9 mainshock can preliminarily determine the hardest stricken area and the disaster areas, but the scope of disaster areas is smaller than the actual survey result. The intensity distribution obtained by using the aftershock sequence within 1.5 h is consistent with the field investigation results, and the calculation results using the aftershock sequence within 2 h have no obvious change. The seismic intensities obtained using the relocated aftershock sequence are more accurate than those obtained from the conventional aftershock sequence, but a suitable relocated method needs to be selected. In this earthquake, the intensity range evaluated by using the aftershock sequences shows a characteristic that the accuracy is higher with growing intensity, and the hardest-hit areas determined using the result are accurate. The proposed method enriches the existing system of rapid intensity assessment, but its applicability and conditions need to be further studied.

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引用本文

赵怀群,何少林,陈文凯,司宏俊,尹欣欣,张灿.基于余震序列的地震烈度快速评估方法研究——以青海门源6.9级地震为例[J].地震工程学报,2022,44(2):432-439. ZHAO Huaiqun, HE Shaolin, CHEN Wenkai, SI Hongjun, YIN Xinxin, ZHANG Can. A rapid evaluation method of earthquake intensity based on the aftershock sequence: a case study of Menyuan M6.9 earthquake in Qinghai Province[J]. China Earthquake Engineering Journal,2022,44(2):432-439.

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  • 收稿日期:2022-01-28
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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-04-19