基于GNSS的青藏高原东北缘地壳运动场及强震趋势研究
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张楠(1982-),男,研究生,主要从事地壳形变方面的研究工作。E-mail:382975210@qq.com

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2018年中国地震局监测预报司“监测、预测、科研”三结合课题基金“青藏高原东北缘地壳水平运动特征分析”(CEA-JC/3JH-17300);2019年宁夏回族自治区自然科学基金“南北地震带北段活动断裂运动特征分析”(2019AAC03259)


Crustal movement field and strong earthquake trend in the northeasternmargin of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau based on GNSS data
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    摘要:

    利用“中国大陆构造环境监测网络”GNSS数据研究1998—2018年青藏高原东北缘排除同震影响等干扰后的速度场、主应变率场、最大剪切应变率场、面应变场等的变化,活动断裂滑动速率变化、跨活动断裂基线变化等。将研究区域内的二级块体再分区,获得各次级块体内部的应变率变化;获取研究区域地壳运动场的趋势性、动态特征。研究结果显示,阿尔金断裂带中东段、祁连块体和柴达木块体交界、巴颜喀拉块体与羌塘块体交界、祁连块体南边界中段、海原—六盘山断裂带和西秦岭北缘断裂带西段的逆冲运动,祁连块体北边界西段、庄浪河断裂的左旋走滑运动,祁连块体北边界东段、西秦岭北缘断裂带东段的左旋逆走滑运动,都属于造成一定程度地壳变形的持续性局部应变增强活动。阿尔金断裂带东段、东昆仑断裂带中西段、祁连块体北边界、庄浪河断裂北段、海原断裂南段、六盘山断裂北段、西秦岭北缘断裂带东段可能存在闭锁,未来十年可能发生MS6.0以上地震。

    Abstract:

    In this paper, the GNSS data from Crustal Movement Observation Network of China (CMONOC) were used to analyze the changes of velocity field, principal strain rate field, maximum shear strain rate field, and surface strain field, as well as the changes of active fault slip rate and cross-fault baseline in the northeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 1998 to 2018 after excluding the effect of co-seismic response and other disturbances. The secondary blocks in the study area were subdivided to obtain the change of strain rate in each secondary block. The trend and dynamic characteristics of crustal movement field in the study area were also obtained. The results show that the thrust movement along the middle and eastern segment of Altyn Tagh fault, the junction of Qilian block and Qaidam block, the junction of Bayankala block and Qiangtang block, the middle section of the southern boundary of Qilian block, the Haiyuan-Liupanshan fault, and the western segment of the northern West Qinling fault, the left-lateral strike-slip movement along the western section of northern boundary of Qilian block and the Zhuanglanghe fault, and the sinistral strike-slip movement along the eastern section of northern boundary of Qilian block and the eastern section of northern edge of West Qinling Mountains all belong to the continuous local strain enhancement movement with a certain degree of crustal deformation. The eastern section of Altyn Tagh fault zone, the middle and western section of East Kunlun fault zone, the northern boundary of Qilian block, the northern section of Zhuanglanghe fault, the southern section of Haiyuan fault, the northern section of Liupanshan fault, and the eastern section of northern edge fault of West Qinling Mountains may be locked, and MS>6.0 earthquakes may occur in these areas in the next decade.

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张楠,许文俊,王静,谢辉,李蒙亚,马瑞.基于GNSS的青藏高原东北缘地壳运动场及强震趋势研究[J].地震工程学报,2022,44(3):649-660. ZHANG Nan, XU Wenjun, WANG Jing, XIE Hui, LI Mengya, MA Rui. Crustal movement field and strong earthquake trend in the northeasternmargin of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau based on GNSS data[J]. China Earthquake Engineering Journal,2022,44(3):649-660.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-06-08