门源6.9级地震前地应变加卸载响应比异常分析
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许延军(1970-),男,甘肃金昌人,工程师,主要从事地震监测和地震预测预报工作。E-mail:757631203@qq.com

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Load/unload response ratio anomalies of strain beforethe Menyuan MS6.9 earthquake
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    摘要:

    基于2022年1月8日门源6.9级地震各项测震学指标分析发现,此次地震前后加卸载响应比呈现明显异常现象,具有短期异常趋势变化。采用类比归纳方法分析青藏高原东北部地区祁连山构造带冷龙岭断裂带6级以上地震的异常特征,认为其加卸载响应比(LURR)通常在1左右浮动,在显著地震发生前2个月逐渐上升至峰值,但强震并不发生在峰值点,而是在降低回落到1左右滞后一段时间(通常是10天,甚至需要更长时间)发生地震,且震级越大,滞后时间相对越长。该区域强余震具有类似特征。加卸载响应比的这种特征可以对震中周边区域及构造带特征相似区域的地震预测及震后趋势判断提供参考价值。

    Abstract:

    Based on the analysis of various seismological indexes of the Menyuan MS6.9 earthquake on January 8, 2022, it was found that the load/unload response ratio (LURR) presented obvious anomalies before and after the earthquake, with a short-term abnormal trend. The anomaly characteristics of M≥6 earthquakes along the Lenglongling fault zone of Qilian Mountain structural belt in northeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau were analyzed by the analogical induction method. It was considered that the LURR usually fluctuated around 1, and gradually rose to the peak value two months before the strong earthquake. Then the LURR fell back to about 1, and after a period of lag time (usually 10 days, or even longer), the strong earthquake occurred, and the greater the magnitude, the longer the lag time. Strong aftershocks in the study area have similar characteristics. The characteristics of LURR can provide reference for earthquake prediction and post-earthquake trend judgment in areas around the epicenter and areas with similar structural belt.

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许延军,张学辉,曹勇,蒲小武,周明辉,张佳佳,王燕萍.门源6.9级地震前地应变加卸载响应比异常分析[J].地震工程学报,2022,44(3):707-712. XU Yanjun, ZHANG Xuehui, CAO Yong, PU Xiaowu, ZHOU Minghui, ZHANG Jiajia, WANG Yanping. Load/unload response ratio anomalies of strain beforethe Menyuan MS6.9 earthquake[J]. China Earthquake Engineering Journal,2022,44(3):707-712.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-06-08