UNSTABILITY INDEX OF SOURCE SYSTEM AND SHORT TERM PREDICTION OF THE STRONG EARTHQUAKES
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    Abstract:

    On the premise of studying the physics basis produced by unstability of source system,and according to the modulation model,we put forward the suggestion to make short term predic-tion using correlation between external agencies and frequency fluctuation intensification of small modulation earthquakes,we also suggest two indexes λ12 to discriminate the unstability of source system,the former is the unique factor modulation index,and the latter is multi-factor modulation index, or multi-factor modulation intensification index.The site prediction of strong earthquake should be decided according to the conjugate belt of small earthquake activi-ty in the stereoscopic model which appears immediately before earthquake and goes cross the future epicenter.

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  • Received:
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  • Online: June 24,2017
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