STUDY ON PREDICTION OF STRONG EARTHQUAKES (M≥7) IN XINJIANG AND NEARBY AREA
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    Abstract:

    The repeated occurrence of time interval value is defined as temporal orderliness.Seismic activity(M≥7) in Xinjiang and nearby area possesses the temporal orderliness. 21 events(M≥7) since 1716 have occurred at intervals of 60,41,30,25 and 11 years. These values of orderli-ness can be used to predict the future M≥7 earthquakes.By using entropy and experiential dis-tribution function,we discuss the location and probability of the next strong earthquake. The result shows that there will be possibility of the occurrence of M≥7 earthquakes during 1996,2004 and 2015 in Xinjiang and nearby area.

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History
  • Received:January 10,1994
  • Revised:
  • Adopted:
  • Online: June 24,2017
  • Published: