灵武5.3级地震的中期和短期预报
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MEDIUM AND SHORT-TERM FORECAST OF LINGWU EARTHQUAKE(M=5.3) IN NINGXIA
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    摘要:

    本文报导了1984年11月23日宁夏灵武5.3级地震的中期和短期预测预报过程及其相应的科学依据。实践表明,根据测震学中地震活动时空异常以及其它前兆异常资料有可能对中等强度的地震事先做出中期和短期预报,但是临震预报至少在目前还是相当困难的。

    Abstract:

    An earthquake (5.3) occurred on November 23, 1984 in Lingwu county, Ningxia Hui Autonomous region (38°04, N, 106°13, E, H=14km, I=Ⅶ). It is the strongest shock in Yinchuan plain since 1962. In this paper, it was reported that the process of medium and short-term forecast of this earthquake and its major precursory science basis. The results demonstrate that it is entirely possible to do medium and short-term forecast before a moderate earthquake using the anomalous characteristics of Seismic pattern and other precursory anomaly phenomena under favorable condition, but it is fairly difficult to do imminent-term forecast just prior to a moderate earthquake at present.

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李孟銮.灵武5.3级地震的中期和短期预报[J].地震工程学报,1987,9(2):52-56. Li Mengluan. MEDIUM AND SHORT-TERM FORECAST OF LINGWU EARTHQUAKE(M=5.3) IN NINGXIA[J]. China Earthquake Engineering Journal,1987,9(2):52-56.

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  • 收稿日期:1986-06-02
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  • 在线发布日期: 2017-06-24