我国西南地区气压场振动对云南及邻区ML≥4.0级地震的临震调制
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IMPENDING-EARTHQUAKE MODULATION EFFECTS ON ML≥4.0 EVENTS OCCURRED IN YUNNAN AREA AND ITS NEIGHBORHOOD BY THE VIBRATION OF THE ATMOSPHERIC FIELD IN SOUTHWEST CHINA
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    摘要:

    本文初步分析了近两年我国西南地区大气压力场(100多个台站资料)的变化对云南地震的影响,发现当云南地区外围(主要是四川盆地)24小时变压ΔPij现高值,并达到一定指标,即:
    ΔPij≥1.4σij,
    而在云南同时出现相对低压时,省内及邻近地区就有可能发生ML≥4.0级地震,一般在7日或5日内发震。发震地点几乎都分布在低压强度最大的地区或高、低压切变带上。
    文章最后就这两者间的可能联系作了简要讨论。

    Abstract:

    Using the data from more than 100 meteorological stations, this paper preliminarily analyzes the effect on earthquake occurrences by the variations of atmospheric pressure field during the last two years or longer in the southwestern areas of China, yielding results show that when the 24-hour atm. variation in Yunnan area and its neighborhood (mostly in the Sichuan basin) appears a high value and then reaches a certain index) i. e. △Pij=Pij-Pi-1,j(i:date, j:month) we have:
    △Pij ≥ 1.4σj (j=Jan., Feb., …Dec.; σj=standard deviation). If a relatively low atm. pressure is also detected in the same period in Yunnan area, there might be possibility for occurrences of ML ≥ 4.0 events in Yunnan region and its neighborhood. The 91.8% prediction accuracy can be maintained for earthquake occurrences within the following 7 days, and 84,5% prediction accuracy can also be reached for earthquake occurrences in the following 5 days. The epicentres of the earthquakes nearly all distribute appears the areas where the greatest strength of low atm. pressure, or it is on the shearing belt of the high-and low-atm. pressures.
    Finally, the paper briefly discusses the possible connections between the above-mentioned two situations.

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杨子汉.我国西南地区气压场振动对云南及邻区ML≥4.0级地震的临震调制[J].地震工程学报,1988,10(1):75-81. Yang Zihan. IMPENDING-EARTHQUAKE MODULATION EFFECTS ON ML≥4.0 EVENTS OCCURRED IN YUNNAN AREA AND ITS NEIGHBORHOOD BY THE VIBRATION OF THE ATMOSPHERIC FIELD IN SOUTHWEST CHINA[J]. China Earthquake Engineering Journal,1988,10(1):75-81.

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  • 收稿日期:1986-06-11
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  • 在线发布日期: 2017-06-24