In this paper, 16 items of 4 factors used in distinguishing magnitude interval related to maximum event that might happen every year are chosen, and the earthquake sequences of Ms≥4.0 (in exception of aftershock) occurred in North China from 1960 to 1986 are dealt with. Fuzzy relation equation of magnitude decision containing 3 magnitude intervals, Ms≤6.0, 6.0s<7.0 and Ms≥7.0 are given. Seven event examples are used to inspect the prediction result of this equation. The result indicates that all of them passed through prediction inspection. This paper also made a estimate that maximum event of which magnitude would be Ms≤6.0 might occur in North China in 1987.
参考文献
相似文献
引证文献
引用本文
陈大业,王秀文.利用模糊关系方程预报大华北地区的最大震级范围[J].地震工程学报,1989,11(4):64-70. Chen Daye, Wang Xiuwen. APPLICATION OF FUZZY-RELATION EQUATION IN PREDICTING MAXIMUM MAGNITUDE RANGE IN NORTH CHINA[J]. China Earthquake Engineering Journal,1989,11(4):64-70.