This paper proposes the method of direct forecasting epicenter with multipoint aimed at predicting the probable areas of coming strong earthquakes. The procedures of this method are:selecting four reference-points out of any seismic areas; writing down geocentric angles relative to the reference-points of each epicenter on the coordinate plane; finding out the curve of epicentral space movement law. Different curves show different movement states, each state migration of epicenters accords with Markov process. Thus, the earthquake occurring probability in future can be predicted for any seismic area. Finally, Using this method, the future seismic situation for some seismic areas in North China is predicted.
参考文献
相似文献
引证文献
引用本文
李平林.直接多点测位法与华北地震[J].地震工程学报,1991,13(3):61-68. Li Pinglin. METHOD OF DIRECT FORECASTING EPICENTER WITH MULTIPOINT AND THE EARTHQUAKES OCCURRED IN NORTH CHINA[J]. China Earthquake Engineering Journal,1991,13(3):61-68.