Rased on activities of faults in Minle-Zhangye basin and around it,space and time of occurrence of future earthquake in the area are predicted.The results show that the 6.5≤MS≤7.0 earthquakes will most likely occur on the western segments of the Yumushan and Hongyabu faults within 50 years.
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钱生华.应用断层的活动性分析民乐-张掖盆地及外围地区的强震危险性[J].地震工程学报,1997,19(2):88-93. QIAN Shenghua. ANALYSIS ON THE SEISMIC RISK BY CHARACTERISTICS OF FAULT ACTIVITY IN THE MINLE-ZHANGYE BASIN AND AROUND IT[J]. China Earthquake Engineering Journal,1997,19(2):88-93.