地震活动因子A值及其在华北地震中短期预报中的应用
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本文属于中国地震局95-04项目研究内容


SEISMICITY FACTOR A-VALUE AND ITS APPLICATION IN MID-SHORT TERM EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION IN NORTHERN CHINA
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    摘要:

    综合考虑了地震活动时空强3个方面的震兆特征,定义了地震活动因子A值.使用1972~1996年华北地区地震资料进行空间扫描,研究中强以上地震前A值的中短期异常变化特征.结果表明,在中短期阶段大多数地震前出现的A值中期异常区面积明显缩小或消失,也有一些地震前1~3个月A值异常区面积再次增大.还就用A值进行地震中短期预报的有关问题进行了讨论.

    Abstract:

    The seismicity factor A-value is defined by synthesizing the seismicity precursors in time, space and magnitude. The seismicity data of moderate or small earthquakes during 1972~1996 in northern China are used in spacial scanning of seismicity factor A-value, studying mid-short term change of the A-value before the earthquakes. The result shows that in mid-short term, the midterm anomaly zones of A-value that appeared about 2~3 years before a lot of strong earthquakes may contract or disappear obviously, and the zones may obviously extend again about 1~3 months before some earthquakes. Some problems about mid-short term earthquake prediction by using the A-value are also disscused.

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王炜,宋先月,刘峥,王峥峥.地震活动因子A值及其在华北地震中短期预报中的应用[J].地震工程学报,1999,21(3):234-241. WANG Wei, SONG Xian-yue, LIU Zheng, WANG Zheng-zheng. SEISMICITY FACTOR A-VALUE AND ITS APPLICATION IN MID-SHORT TERM EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION IN NORTHERN CHINA[J]. China Earthquake Engineering Journal,1999,21(3):234-241.

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  • 收稿日期:1998-08-25
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  • 在线发布日期: 2017-06-28