计算条件对Hurst指数稳定性影响分析
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ANALYZING THE EFFECT ON HURST EXPONENT STABILITY FROM CALCULATIONAL CONDITIONS
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    摘要:

    基于随机poisson分布模型和Gutenberg-Richter关系,构造出20年尺度内8组样本量从1 000到15 000的模拟地震目录数据,以讨论样本量条件、最大拟合窗长τmax等计算条件对地震活动频次序列H值计算结果的影响.结果表明,随着样本量的增加,H值整体精度及稳定性增大.当τmax=300时,表现尤为明显.实际震例计算结果也表明,通过合理选取计算条件,可以较好地提取强震前H值的异常变化过程.

    Abstract:

    Based on random Poisson distributional model and Gutenberg-Richter law, we made 8 groups of simulated seismic catalogues with the sample size of 1 000 to 15 000 within 20 years so that we could discuss the effect on the H value of frequency sequence of seismicity caused by the calculational conditions of sample size and τmax of maximal fitting window length. The result shows that the whole precision and stability of H value improve with the sample size increasing. When τmax is equal to 300, it is specially obvious. Case calculations show that it is available to pick up well the process of anomaly change of H value before strong earthquake with selecting reasonable calculational conditions.

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引用本文

赵翠萍,王海涛.计算条件对Hurst指数稳定性影响分析[J].地震工程学报,2002,24(1):34-41. ZHAO Cui-ping, WANG Hai-tao. ANALYZING THE EFFECT ON HURST EXPONENT STABILITY FROM CALCULATIONAL CONDITIONS[J]. China Earthquake Engineering Journal,2002,24(1):34-41.

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  • 收稿日期:2001-05-23
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  • 在线发布日期: 2017-06-24