The seismic environment,seismic background in middle-short term and integrative characters of anomalies in short term in the seismogenic process of Minle-Shandan earthquake are summarized systematicaly. On the base of common features of precursors in short term before middle-strong earthquacke in Qilian seismic belt,the main evidences and scientific judgement to short term prediction are expatiatied. Meanwhile,the method,difficulty and perplexed problems associated with the judgment are discussed.
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杨立明,王兰民.民乐-山丹6.1级地震短期预报的科学总结[J].地震工程学报,2004,26(1):1-9. YANG Lim-ing, WANG lan-min. SCIENTIFIC SUMMARIZATION OF SHORT TERM PREDICT TO MINLE-SHANDAN MS6.1 EARTHQUAKE[J]. China Earthquake Engineering Journal,2004,26(1):1-9.