地震活动参数约简的因子分析方法
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Factor Analysis Method for Reducing Seismicity Parameters
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    摘要:

    目前地震活动性分析有许多指标参量,各参量在不同时段变化各异,预报效果不理想。由于各参量之间通常具有一定的相关性,本文选择地震频次N(ML≥3.0)、b值、η值、A(b)值、Mf值、Ac值、C值和D值8个参量进行因子分析,得到的反映地震活动时、空、强异常特征的综合指标Wfa。结果表明Wfa在2005年江西九江5.7级地震和华北14次5.7级以上地震前出现明显的异常变化,可以较好地反映地震活动时、空、强异常特征。还对因子分析的有关问题进行了讨论。

    Abstract:

    There are many parameters in analysis of are different in different period of seismic process, seismicity. The variations of those parameters and the earthquake forecast results of the parameters are not well. For existing some correlations among those parameters, 8 parameter, such as N(ML≥3.0), b-value, η-value, A(b)-value, M〈value,Ac-value, C-value and D-value are selected for factor analysis method, and an synthetic parameter Wf., that reflects the temporal, spatial and intensity characteristics of seismicity, is made. The result shows that Wf, had obvious anomalous change before Jiujiang MsS. 7 earthquake in 2005, Jiangxi Province, and 14 Ms≥5.7 earthquake events in North China, can reflect the anomalous variation in temporal, spatial and intensity characteristics of seismicity well. Some problems in the factor analysis method are discussed also.

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王炜,林命週,赵利飞,马钦忠.地震活动参数约简的因子分析方法[J].地震工程学报,2006,28(4):303-308. WANG?Wei, LIN?Ming-zhou, ZHAO?Li-fei, MA?Qin-zhong. Factor Analysis Method for Reducing Seismicity Parameters[J]. China Earthquake Engineering Journal,2006,28(4):303-308.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2014-07-08