利用GPS数据研究南北地震带北段近期地壳水平形变特征
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

基金项目:

中国地震局2016年"地震监测预测科研三结合"课题(163001)


Study of the Recent Crustal Horizontal Deformation in the Northern Segment of the North-South Seismic Belt Based on GPS Data
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
    摘要:

    采用中国地震局"陆态网络"GPS基准站和流动站观测数据,利用MIT的开源软件GAMIT/GLOBK解算南北地震带北段(33°~42°N,97°~110°E),特别是六盘山地区、祁连地块、银川地堑1999年以来在欧亚框架下,以鄂尔多斯块体作为参考的GPS速度场。计算南北地震带北段5条断裂两侧50~350 km范围内各站垂直/平行于断裂走向的速度投影,以及14个基准站18条基线2010年以来的长度时间序列,试图进一步估计关心区域的应力积累情况,探索断层闭锁段。结合地震活动性,认为南北地震带北段未来50年有发生M8地震的可能性;该段1900年以来的第4个M6、M7地震活跃期可能已经拉开序幕,未来2年有发生M7以上地震的可能性;祁连断裂带、海原断裂、西秦岭北缘地震带具备发生M6和M7地震的优先条件,尤其是海原断裂。

    Abstract:

    To study the characteristics of the recent crustal horizontal deformation in the northern segment of the North-South seismic belt, the GPS velocity field in the northern segment of the North-South seismic belt (33°~42°N, 97°~110°E) since 1999 was computed based on the GPS data from stations of the Crustal Movement Observation Network of China using the GAMIT/GLOBK software. These findings, combined with information on the seismic activities in the study area, suggest that M≥8.0 earthquakes will likely occur in the northern segment of the North-South seismic belt in the next 50 years; the fourth active period of earthquakes since 1900 with magnitude 6~7 may have already arrived, and in the next two years, an M>7.0 earthquake may occur; there is potential risk of M6 and M7 earthquakes in the Qilianshan, northern Xiqinling, and especially Haiyuan faults.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

张楠,许文俊.利用GPS数据研究南北地震带北段近期地壳水平形变特征[J].地震工程学报,2018,40(3):562-573. ZHANG Nan, XU Wenjun. Study of the Recent Crustal Horizontal Deformation in the Northern Segment of the North-South Seismic Belt Based on GPS Data[J]. China Earthquake Engineering Journal,2018,40(3):562-573.

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2016-10-25
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2018-07-25