2023年甘肃积石山Ms6.2地震对周围断层的应力影响及对余震的触发作用
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防灾科技学院

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中央高校科研业务费专项(ZY20215117)、国家自然科学基金(42174074,41674055)、河北省高等学校自然科学技术项目(ZD2022160)和河北省地震动力学重点实验室开放(FZ212105)共同资助。


Stress change on surrounding faults and stress triggering of aftershocks by 2023 Jishishan Ms 6.2 earthquake in Gansu
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Institute of Disaster Prevention

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    摘要:

    2023年12月18日,中国甘肃省临夏州积石山县发生Ms6.2地震,地震位于拉脊山断裂带。为深度剖析本次地震对周围断层和后续地震的静态库仑破裂应力影响,本研究首先基于地震破裂模型参数和弹性半空间模型,计算甘肃积石山Ms6.2地震在周围主要断层上不同深度产生的静态库仑破裂应力变化,并评估这些应力变化对未来地震危险性的可能影响。结果显示,本次地震对青海南山—循化南山断裂、拉脊山北缘断裂和拉脊山南缘断裂部分区域的库仑破裂应力显著增加,青海南山—循化南山断裂东段的库仑破裂应力增加远超出静态应力触发阈值,达到了0.022 MPa,表现出潜在的较高地震危险性。其他断层也呈现出不同程度的库仑应力变化,拉脊山北缘断裂和拉脊山南缘断裂部分区域的应力卸载量达到了万帕,青海南山—循化南山断裂除东段外的其他分段和庄浪河断裂的应力卸载量达到了百帕。对不同震源深度下断层库仑破裂应力变化进行对比分析,发现深度变化对此次地震库仑破裂应力变化模式影响很大,但青海南山—循化南山断裂的库仑破裂应力增加仍十分显著。本研究为该地区未来地震可能性与危险性的评估提供了一定的参考。其次,本文计算了本次地震在较大余震断层面上的库仑破裂应力,结果表明,甘肃积石山Ms6.2地震在后续三次Ms≥4地震的断层面上产生的库仑破裂应力分别为0.024 MPa、0.033 MPa和0.034 MPa,均超过触发阈值(0.01 MPa),表明Ms6.2地震对这三次地震具有明显的触发作用。

    Abstract:

    On December 18, 2023, an Ms 6.2 earthquake occurred in Jishishan County, Linxia Prefecture, Gansu Province, China. The earthquake was located in the Lajishan fault. To deeply into the static Coulomb stress impact of this earthquake on the surrounding faults and aftershocks, the static Coulomb Failure Stress(CFS) changes induced by the Jishishan Ms6.2 earthquake at various depths along the major surrounding faults are calculated by using elastic half-space medium and the co-seismic rupture model. And the future potential seismic hazard on the study region is estimated based on the CFS changes.The results indicate that the event significantly increased the CFS on segments of the Qinghainanshan-Xunhuananshan fault, Lajishanbeiyuan fault, and Lajishannanyuan fault. Particularly, the eastern segment of the Qinghainanshan-Xunhuananshan fault experienced a CFS increase well beyond the static stress triggering threshold, reaching 0.022 MPa, indicating a potentially higher seismic hazard. Other faults also exhibited various degrees of CFS changes, with stress unloading amounts reaching tens of thousands of Pascals on segments of the Lajishanbeiyuan fault and Lajishannanyuan fault, and hundreds of Pascals on the other segments of Nanshan-Xunhua Nanshan fault in Qinghai except the eastern segment and Zhuanglanghe fault. Furthermore, a comparative analysis of CFS changes on faults at different depths revealed a significant influence of depth variations on the CFS pattern of the earthquake. However, the increase in CFS along the Qinghainanshan-Xunhuananshan fault remains highly significant. This study provides a reference for evaluating the possibility and risk of future earthquakes in study region. Moreover, the CFS changes induced by the earthquake on the fault planes of the larger aftershocks are calculated. The CFS changes on the fault planes of the three subsequent Ms≥4 earthquake are estimated as 0.024 MPa, 0.033 MPa, and 0.034 MPa, respectively, which surpassing the triggering threshold and it shows that the Ms6.2 earthquake has obvious triggering effect on these three earthquakes.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-01-01
  • 最后修改日期:2024-02-01
  • 录用日期:2024-03-05
  • 在线发布日期: 2024-03-05