2023年积石山6.2级地震诱发的中川乡泥石流灾害过程与成因分析
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应急管理部国家自然灾害防治研究院

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国家自然科学基金资助项目(42271017,42271015);中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务专项重点项目(ZDJ2019-14);民用航天技术预先研究项目(D040405)


Analysis on the process and causes of debris flow in Zhongchuan Township induced by 6.2 earthquake in Jishishan in 2023
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National Institute of Natural Hazards,Ministry of Emergency Management

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    摘要:

    强震极易诱发山区灾变性的泥石流过程,但需要辅以必要的地貌、地质、水文或气候条件。2023年积石山地震诱发的青海省民和县中川乡泥石流,因其导致的大量人员伤亡而备受关注。基于对中川乡泥石流沟谷及其周边区域的综合考察,包括地貌与第四纪地质特征的面上调查,天然剖面观察,泥石流物源和堆积物粒度、粒形特征分析以及基于灾前卫星影像和灾后多型号无人机航摄的多尺度地貌形态分析等,对灾害过程特征、影响因素以及未来防控进行了初步的分析和讨论。泥石流沟谷侵蚀或堆积厚度及其空间分布特征表明,物源区主要集中在草滩村上游右岸支沟源头。物源区地层丰富的细砂物质和传统的提灌耕作方式,为强震动下滑塌触发提供了有利条件;现场调查表明物源主要通过群发式的浅层(2~3m)滑塌补给,在运移过程不断破碎和分散。浅部稳定隔水层的存在和泉水的出露,为源区物质提供持续的水源补给,最终形成流动性的泥石流。灾前流通区谷地横纵剖面复杂,局部存在小水塘和沟道被阻塞的情况,增加了泥石流的阵发性和破坏能力。现场残余堆积物和淤泥痕迹的空间分布特征表明,本次泥石流具有典型的栓流特征,表现出粘度极大的特点。拥堵导致泥石流淤高和规模持续扩大。持续增加的势能最终导致泥石流冲破谷地障碍继续流动。沿途侵蚀和堆积并存,不断重塑泥石流谷地。堆积区地形进一步展开,导致泥石流分散和堆积。位于堆积区谷地内的民宅受灾最为严重。此外,寒冷天气和夜半发震,以及群众对灾害性质缺乏认知等原因,也在一定程度上加剧了本次泥石流灾害的严重程度。针对黄河上游类似官亭盆地的中小盆地众多,地层结构、地貌水文条件相近,人居环境及人地关系也都相似,应结合本次灾害特点,有步骤分阶段地开展调查排查工作。在此基础上,针对已识别的高风险隐患点,定期开展巡查排查,加强重大灾害风险的预测预警。同时加强宣传和普及,提升公众对地震及链生灾害的科学认知水平。

    Abstract:

    Strong earthquake can easily induce the debris flow process in mountainous areas, but it needs to be supplemented by necessary geomorphological, geological, hydrological or climatic conditions. The 2023 debris flow in Caotan and Jingtian Village, Zhongchuan Township in Minhe County, Qinghai Province, has attracted much attention due to its severe disaster. Based on the comprehensive investigation of debris-flow gully and its surrounding areas of Caotan village, including the survey of geomorphological and quaternary-geological features, outcrop observation, grain-size and grain-shape analysis of debris flow source and deposits as well remote sensing, the disaster process characteristics, influencing factors and future prevention and control are analyzed and discussed. The erosion/accumulation thickness and its spatial distribution characteristics of debris-flow gully show that the source area is mainly concentrated in the tributary source of the right bank on the upper reaches of Caotan Village. The rich fine sand material in the source area and the traditional irrigation method provide favorable conditions for the trigger of the slump under earthquake-induced vibration; the field investigation shows that the source is mainly supplied by a large number of shallow (2~3m) slumps, and is gradually broken and dispersed during the migration process. The existence of the shallow stable water table and the exposure of the spring water provide continuous supply of water source for the material in the source area, and finally form debris flow. The both longitudinal and transverse profiles of the circulation area of gully in the pre-disasters are complex, there exist a local small reservoirs and gully are blocked by human structures, these increase the paroxysmal and destructive capacity of debris flow. The spatial distribution characteristics of residual debris and mud traces show that the debris flow has typical plug flow characteristics and shows great viscosity. The increasing potential energy eventually led to debris-flow breaking through the valley barrier to continue to flow. Erosion and accumulation coexist along the way, reshaping the debris-flow valley. The topography of the accumulation area is further open, leading to the dispersion and accumulation of debris flows. The intrusion of civil architecture into the valley is one of the causes of the disaster. In addition, the severe cold weather and the midnight occurrence of earthquake, as well as the lack of public awareness of the nature of the disaster, also aggravated the severity of the debris flow disaster to a certain extent. In view of the many small and medium-sized basins in the upper reaches of the Yellow River, with similar stratigraphic structure, landform and hydrological conditions, and similar human settlement environment and human-land relationship, this paper proposes to carry out the investigation step by step in combination with the characteristics of this disaster. On this basis, regular inspections and investigations will be carried out for the identified high-risk and hidden dangers to strengthen the prediction and early warning of major disaster risks. At the same time, add publicity and popularization to improve the public"s scientific awareness of earthquake-induced disasters.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-01-13
  • 最后修改日期:2024-02-23
  • 录用日期:2024-03-05
  • 在线发布日期: 2024-03-28