震后快速评估影响场精度评价
CSTR:
作者:
作者单位:

1.贵州省地震局;2.中国地震台网中心;3.新疆维吾尔自治区地震局

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

贵州省地震局科技创新团队(GZSDZJDZKJJJ202104);新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学基金面上项目(2023D01A103)


Accuracy evaluation of post-seismic rapid assessment influence field
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Guizhou Earthquake Agency;2.China Earthquake Networks Center;3.Earthquake Agency of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    地震应急快速评估产品是震后应急指挥工作的重要支撑,精准可靠的快速评估影响场是应急产品的基础。为评价震后快速评估影响场应用效果,本文以2001-2024年的94次破坏性地震为研究对象,研究调查烈度圈与评估影响场在震中位置、长轴方向与衰减关系三个方面的偏差与原因。结果表明:(1)宏观震中和微观震中位置偏差多在5 km范围内,但震害叠加、房屋分布、同震地质灾害和地表破裂等因素会扩大其偏差;(2)采用断裂带信息评估长轴方向能够满足多数评估的应用需求,而发震断层缺失或判断错误、居民点与断层方向不一致等因素会增大偏差;(3)椭圆衰减模型能够反映多数地震长短轴方向的烈度衰减过程,但调查烈度圈受到地形、居民点分布的影响;且此类模型不适用于引发大尺度同震地表破裂的地震事件。

    Abstract:

    Earthquake emergency rapid assessment product is an important support for post-earthquake emergency command work, and the accurate and reliable rapid assessment impact field is the foundation of emergency products. To evaluate the application effect of post-earthquake rapid assessment impact field, this paper took 94 destructive earthquakes from 2001 to 2024 as the research objects, and studied the deviations and causes between the surveyed intensity circles and the assessed impact fields in three aspects: epicenter location, long-axis direction, and attenuation relationship. The results showed that:(1) The deviation between the macro epicenter and micro epicenter was mostly within 5 km, but factors such as the superposition of earthquake damage, house distribution, co-seismic geological disasters, and surface rupture would expand the deviation;(2) The use of fault information to assess the long axis direction could meet the application needs for most earthquakes, while factors such as the absence or misjudgment of the seismiotectonics the inconsistency between residential areas and the fault direction would increase the deviation;(3) The attenuation model could reflect the intensity attenuation process of the long and short axis directions of most earthquakes, but the surveyed intensity circles were affected by terrain and the distribution of residential areas; such models were not applicable to earthquake events that cause large-scale co-seismic surface rupture.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文
分享
相关视频

文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2025-01-22
  • 最后修改日期:2025-08-29
  • 录用日期:2025-11-20
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-07-30
  • 出版日期:
文章二维码