基于斜坡单元和信息量-逻辑回归的滑坡易发性评价——以三峡库区香溪河与咤溪河流域为例
CSTR:
作者:
作者单位:

1.湖北省地质灾害防治工程技术研究中心(三峡大学), 湖北 宜昌 443002 ;2.三峡大学(湖北)设计咨询研究院有限责任公司, 湖北 宜昌 443002 ;3.三峡大学土木与建筑学院, 湖北 宜昌 443002

作者简介:

蔡环宇(1997-),男,湖北潜江人,硕士,助理工程师,主要从事地质灾害监测预警及风险评价方面的研究。E-mail:1026965114@qq.com。

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

P642.22

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金面上项目(42172303)


Landslide susceptibility assessment based on slope units and information value-logistic regression: a case study of the Xiangxi and Zhaxi River basins in the Three Gorges Reservoir area
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Hubei Geological Disaster Prevention and Control Engineering Technology Research Center(China Three Gorges University), Yichang 443002 , Hubei, China ;2.Three Gorges University (Hubei) Limited Company of Design Consultation & Research Insitute, Yichang 443002 , Hubei, China ;3.College of Civil Engineering & Architecture, China Three Gorges University, Yichang 443002 , Hubei, China

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    三峡库区香溪河、咤溪河流域滑坡灾害频发,对库区人民生命财产及水陆交通安全造成了极大威胁。为探究该区域滑坡发育情况及成因,选取高程、高差、坡度、坡向、工程地质岩组、斜坡结构、涉水度、距水系距离、距道路距离、降雨量、土地利用等11个影响因子,以斜坡单元为评价单元,基于ArcGIS,以信息量-逻辑回归耦合模型开展滑坡易发性评价。结果表明:(1)降雨量和岩组与滑坡发育呈正相关,且相关性最大;(2)因地质构造和岩组的差异,两河流域的滑坡易发性显著不同,香溪河右岸较高,左岸南段较高、北段较低,而咤溪河两岸均为高易发及以上;(3)易发性等级与距河流距离呈现出显著负相关;(4)人类活动频繁的区域易发性等级大多较高;(5)经受试者工作特征曲线检验,评价结果精度为0.840,表明该模型能较为准确地预测滑坡的发生,以斜坡单元作为评价单元与实际情况更加贴合。

    Abstract:

    Frequent landslides in the Xiangxi and Zhaxi River basins of the Three Gorges Reservoir area pose significant threats to life, property, and transportation safety. To investigate the causes and development of landslides in this area, this study selected 11 influencing factors, namely elevation, elevation difference, slope gradient, slope aspect, engineering geological rock groups, slope structure, water contact degree, distance to water systems, distance to roads, rainfall, and land use. The results showed the following: (1) Rainfall and engineering geological rock groups exhibited the strongest positive correlation with landslide occurrence. (2) Susceptibility patterns differed significantly between the two basins because of geological and lithological variations, i.e., the right and southern left banks of the Xiangxi River showed higher susceptibility than the northern left bank, whereas both banks of the Zhaxi River exhibited high to very high susceptibility. (3) Susceptibility levels decreased significantly with the increase in distance to rivers; meanwhile, areas with intensive human activities generally exhibited higher susceptibility. The model achieved an accuracy of 0.840 under the receiver operating characteristic curve, confirming its reliability in landslide prediction. Slope units exhibited superior alignment with actual landslide distributions compared with grid-based approaches.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

蔡环宇,易庆林,邓茂林,等.基于斜坡单元和信息量-逻辑回归的滑坡易发性评价——以三峡库区香溪河与咤溪河流域为例[J].地震工程学报,2025,47(5):1090-1101. DOI:10.20000/j.1000-0844.20230811003

复制
分享
相关视频

文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2023-08-11
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-07-29
  • 出版日期:
文章二维码