2025年1月2日宁夏银川4.8级、4.6级地震热红外异常特征分析
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作者:
作者单位:

1.宁夏回族自治区地震局, 宁夏 银川 750001 ;2.青海省地震局, 青海 西宁 810000

作者简介:

李青梅(1976-),女,高级工程师,主要从事地震热红外及地球物理站网工作。E-mail:379989590@qq.com。

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中图分类号:

P315.7;P407

基金项目:

宁夏自然科学基金项目(2024AAC03434);宁夏自然科学基金项目(2023AAC03820)


Characteristics of thermal infrared anomalies prior to the MS4.8 and MS4.6 earthquakes in Yinchuan,Ningxia, on January 2, 2025
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Earthquake Agency of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, Yinchuan 750001 , Ningxia, China ;2.Qinghai Earthquake Agency, Xining 810001 , Qinghai, China

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    摘要:

    2025年1月2日宁夏银川城区发生两次地震,带来较大社会影响。为提升区域地震监测能力,基于FY-2E/ FY-2G卫星亮温(TBB)和射出长波辐射(OLR)数据,结合小波变换与功率谱相对变化法,分析宁夏银川MS4.8与MS4.6地震及2009年以来鄂尔多斯西缘6次MS≥4.0地震前的热红外异常特征。结果表明:异常演化呈现“显现→扩展→衰减→消散”共性模式;银川地震TBB异常始于2024年8月27日,OLR异常出现于2024年11月22日,二者均于发震前达到峰值;震前约2个月,TBB功率谱显著偏离背景,最大偏离幅度超背景值8倍;鄂尔多斯西缘6次地震亦符合此演化模式,震中多位于异常区边缘断层带,异常峰值后22~94天内发震,且功率谱幅值≥4倍持续时长20~61天。研究成果为区域MS4.0~5.0地震热红外监测提供依据,验证了卫星热红外技术捕捉地震前兆的有效性。

    Abstract:

    Two earthquakes occurred in the urban area of Ningxia on January 2, 2025, causing significant societal impact. To enhance regional seismic monitoring capabilities, based on the black-body brightness temperature (TBB) and outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) data from FY-2E/FY-2G satellites, the thermal infrared anomalies preceding the Yinchuan MS4.8 and MS4.6 earthquakes and six MS≥4.0 events along the western margin of Ordos Block since 2009 were analyzed using the wavelet transform and relative power spectrum variation methods. Results demonstrate a consistent evolutionary pattern:“emergence→expansion→ attenuation→dissipation.” For the Yinchuan earthquakes, TBB anomalies initiated on August 27, 2024, followed by OLR anomalies on November 22, 2024, both peaking prior to the mainshocks. Approximately two months prior to the earthquakes, the TBB power spectrum deviated markedly from background levels, with maximum amplitudes exceeding background values by eightfold. The six historical earthquakes along the western margin of Ordos Block exhibited identical evolutionary characteristics:epicenters generally located within fault zones on the edges of anomaly areas;mainshocks occurring 22-94 days after peak anomalies;and relative power spectrum amplitudes ≥4 times background values for 20-61 days. These findings provide foundational parameters for thermal infrared monitoring of regional MS4.0-5.0 earthquakes and validate the efficacy of satellite thermal infrared technology in capturing seismic precursors.

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李青梅,李新艳,杨欢庆,等.2025年1月2日宁夏银川4.8级、4.6级地震热红外异常特征分析[J].地震工程学报,2025,47(6):1425-1434. DOI:10.20000/j.1000-0844.20250602001

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  • 收稿日期:2025-06-02
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-09-29
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